Illinois vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

Michigan center Danny Wolf (1) reacts during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Arkansas, Tuesday, Dec. 10, 2024, in New York. Arkansas won 89-87. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
(AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
  • Michigan is a -3.5 point favorite vs Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Illinois / Michigan TV channel: CBS

The Illinois Fighting Illini visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 3:45pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Illinois vs. Michigan Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois+3.5 -115O 159.5 -105+130
Michigan -3.5 -105U 159.5 -115-155

Illinois vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 52.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+11.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+9.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 12-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.1 Units / -21.98% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -3.9% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.75 Units / -18.58% ROI).

  • 21-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 2.95% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.94% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.11% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 876 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has 872 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has attempted 454 threes in the first half this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois is shooting 29% from three (132/454) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 6.8 turnovers per game (190 turnovers/28 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (404 turnovers/28 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (404 turnovers/28 games) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Michigan has averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/28 games) in the first half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 30.1 defensive rebounds per game (872 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Illinois has averaged 30.1 defensive rebounds per game (872 rebounds/29 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Illinois has averaged 29.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,928 rebounds/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Illinois has averaged 4.5 steals per game (297 steals/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (981 points/849 shots) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (275 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 5.6 steals per game (158 steals/28 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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