Illinois State vs Belmont Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:57 AM
  • Belmont (16-8) are -10.5 point favorites vs Illinois State (10-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Illinois State Redbirds (10-14) visit Curb Event Center to take on the Belmont Bruins (16-8) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Nashville.

Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Illinois State vs. Belmont Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Belmont Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State+10.5 -110O 139.5 -110+450
Belmont -10.5 -110U 139.5 -110-650

Illinois State vs Belmont Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Belmont will win this game with 70.9% confidence.

Illinois State vs Belmont Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois State and Belmont, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has gone 10-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -21.8% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.58% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -16.29% ROI

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has gone 12-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).

  • 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 13.89% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/24 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (251 assists/ 356 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Illinois State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (337/421) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Illinois State has averaged 10.5 assists per game (251 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has averaged 16.9 assists per game (961 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.0

Belmont is shooting 62% from inside the arc (673/1,092) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Belmont is shooting 40% from three (239/602) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont has 961 assists since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has 362 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (137 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois State has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Illinois State has allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (4,105 points/3,306 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has averaged 8.3 steals per game (471 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Belmont has 471 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont has 172 steals this season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont has averaged 8.3 steals per game (471 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.