Illinois State vs Drake Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 1:39 PM
  • Drake (23-6) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Illinois State (10-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds (10-19) visit Knapp Center to take on the Drake Bulldogs (23-6) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Des Moines.

Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Illinois State vs. Drake Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Drake Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State+15.5 -110O 137.5 -110+875
Drake -15.5 -110U 137.5 -110-1600

Illinois State vs Drake Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Drake will win this game with 76.5% confidence.

Illinois State vs Drake Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois State and Drake, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+3.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 43 games (+17.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has gone 10-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.3 Units / -30.46% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has gone 12-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 9.5% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/24 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Illinois State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (337/421) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (251 assists/ 356 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Illinois State has averaged 10.5 assists per game (251 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (264 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Drake has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (330 assists/ 264 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Drake has averaged 10.7 turnovers per game (642 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (137 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois State has 362 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Illinois State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (422/1,240) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (668 rebounds/24 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Drake has averaged 5.5 steals per game (131 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Drake has averaged 5.5 steals per game (131 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Drake has 383 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.