Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 2

No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
  • Murray State is a -5.5 point favorite vs Illinois State
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Illinois State / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Jan. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Illinois State vs. Murray State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State+5.5 -110O 138.5 -115+200
Murray State -5.5 -110U 138.5 -105-250

Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 77.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois State vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 away games (+8.25 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Illinois State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 9-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -8.17% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 4-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / -28.57% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -3.15% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 40% from three (138/342) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (99 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Illinois State has made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Illinois State has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (133 turnovers/13 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Murray State has made 26 two point field goals this season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has 25.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Murray State has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (454 turnovers/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (67 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Illinois State has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (134 turnovers/13 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Illinois State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (67 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Illinois State has allowed 8.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 39th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Murray State has 96 steals this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (96 steals/13 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.