Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

• Murray State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Illinois State
• Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
• Illinois State / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Illinois State vs. Murray State Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 61.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois State vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.

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Illinois State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
• Illinois State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+1.60 Units / 1% ROI)
• Illinois State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+0.80 Units / 1% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+12.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• Murray State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI).

• 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -2.97% ROI
• 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI
• 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 9.07% ROI).

• 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 8.74% ROI
• 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
• 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 48% (583/1,226) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Illinois State is shooting 48% (583/1,226) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Illinois State has a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Illinois State is shooting 35% from three (179/510) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 41% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (724 free throw attempts/1,756 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State is shooting 47% (615/1,299) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Murray State has averaged 87.3 points per game (1,834 points/21 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 75.8

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has allowed 67.0 points per game (1,408 points/21 games) this season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Illinois State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Illinois State has forced 11.0 turnovers per game (616 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Illinois State has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,408 points/1,176 shots) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed 5.3 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Murray State allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Murray State has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

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