- Illinois State is a -7.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Illinois State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Illinois State Redbirds visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Jan. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.
Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Illinois State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Illinois State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 68.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Illinois State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Illinois State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois State has a 10-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 8.7% ROI
- 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 9.06% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -25.64% ROI
- 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State has an eFG% of 58% since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Illinois State is shooting 36% from three (132/362) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (1,199 points/876 shots) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.30
Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (215 assists/ 164 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (354/837) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 42%
Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Valparaiso has allowed 69.7 points per game (1,046 points/15 games) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.5
Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State has an eFG% of 58% since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Illinois State is shooting 36% from three (132/362) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (1,199 points/876 shots) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.30
Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (215 assists/ 164 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (354/837) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 42%
Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Valparaiso has allowed 69.7 points per game (1,046 points/15 games) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.5
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