Incarnate Word vs Northwestern State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 23

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  • Northwestern State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Incarnate Word
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Incarnate Word / Northwestern State TV channel: ESPN+

The Incarnate Word Cardinals visit Prather Coliseum to take on the Northwestern State Demons on Feb. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Natchitoches, LA.

Northwestern State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Incarnate Word vs Northwestern State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Incarnate Word vs Northwestern State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northwestern State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 away games (+5.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 10 games at home (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Northwestern State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 8 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has a 9-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.7 Units / -31.52% ROI).

  • 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -16.67% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI

Northwestern State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern State has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 17.48% ROI).

  • 7-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -30.39% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word is shooting 38% from three (246/644) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Incarnate Word is shooting 38% from three (525/1,396) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 34%

Incarnate Word has an eFG% of 52% this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%

Incarnate Word has averaged 75.5 points per game (2,113 points/28 games) this season — 5th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 73.2

Northwestern State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (216 rebounds/28 games) this season — 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.4

Northwestern State has made 6.1 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Northwestern State has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (216 rebounds/28 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Northwestern State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (343 assists/ 310 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (276 turnovers/28 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 11.9

Incarnate Word has averaged 6.2 steals per game (572 steals/92 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Incarnate Word has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (276 turnovers/28 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 11.9

Incarnate Word has averaged 5.4 steals per game (150 steals/28 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Northwestern State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State has averaged 20.9 defensive rebounds per game (586 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Northwestern State has forced 11.7 turnovers per game (1,057 turnovers/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 12.5

Northwestern State has averaged 6.8 steals per game (613 steals/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Northwestern State has allowed 7.5 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.