Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

(AP Photo)
  • Stephen F. Austin is a -4.5 point favorite vs Incarnate Word
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Incarnate Word / Stephen F. Austin TV channel: ESPN+

The Incarnate Word Cardinals visit William R. Johnson Coliseum to take on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Nacogdoches, TX.

Stephen F. Austin is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Incarnate Word vs. Stephen F. Austin Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Incarnate Word vs. Stephen F. Austin Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Incarnate Word+4.5 -115O 133.5 -115+165
Stephen F. Austin -4.5 -105U 133.5 -105-200

Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Stephen F. Austin will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Stephen F. Austin will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.28 Units / 15% ROI)

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has a 6-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -7.53% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Stephen F. Austin Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Stephen F. Austin has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 15.45% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -28.43% ROI
  • 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word is shooting 42% from three (125/294) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 32%

Incarnate Word is shooting 42% from three (125/294) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 32%

Incarnate Word has a TS% of 53% this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 47%

Incarnate Word has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (134 turnovers/13 games) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 12.9

Stephen F. Austin Offensive Stats & Trends:

Stephen F. Austin averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (505 turnovers/33 games) last season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 17.5 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/13 games) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (732 turnovers/46 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Stephen F. Austin has made 5.2 three-pointers per game this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (676 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Incarnate Word has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Incarnate Word averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (676 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Incarnate Word has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Stephen F. Austin Defensive Stats & Trends:

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (318 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Stephen F. Austin averaged 8.9 steals per game (295 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Stephen F. Austin has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Stephen F. Austin forced 16.2 turnovers per game (534 turnovers/33 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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