- Valparaiso is a -4.5 point favorite vs Indiana State
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- Indiana State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Indiana State Sycamores visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Valparaiso, IN.
Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-118).
The Indiana State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
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Indiana State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this college basketball game with 68.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Indiana State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Indiana State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Indiana State have covered the Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.35 Units / 86% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Indiana State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Indiana State has a 15-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -34.49% ROI
- 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI
- 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 16-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.1 Units / 22.14% ROI).
- 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -6.99% ROI
- 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
- 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI
Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Indiana State scored 3,126 points last season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Indiana State assisted on 663 field goals last season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Indiana State had a TS% of 55% last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Indiana State had a TS% of 55% last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso is shooting 41% (635/1,529) this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Indiana State averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,046 rebounds/37 games) last season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Indiana State has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (662 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Indiana State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,855 points/1,569 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Indiana State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,855 points/1,569 shots) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (6,689 points/5,230 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 27th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (2,408/5,230) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
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