Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 8

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  • Valparaiso is a -1.5 point favorite vs Indiana State
  • Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
  • Indiana State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Indiana State Sycamores visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Jan. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.

Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Indiana State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 163.5 total points.

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Indiana State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Indiana State+1.5 -105O 163.5 -110+110
Valparaiso -1.5 -115U 163.5 -110-135

Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Indiana State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 60.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Indiana State has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.35 Units / 2.46% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -9.54% ROI
  • 11-2 when betting the Over for +8.8 Units / 61.54% ROI
  • 2-11 when betting the Under for -10.1 Units / -70.63% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 8.05% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State made 407 three-pointers last season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State had an eFG% of 60% last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Indiana State scored 3,126 points last season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has made 567 three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Valparaiso has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has allowed 76.7 points per game (1,150 points/15 games) this season — 45th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Indiana State averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,046 rebounds/37 games) last season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Indiana State averaged 28.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,046 rebounds/37 games) last season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Indiana State has averaged 28.4 defensive rebounds per game (426 rebounds/15 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 5.6 steals per game (84 steals/15 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Valparaiso has averaged 5.6 steals per game (84 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Valparaiso has allowed 72.4 points per game (1,086 points/15 games) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.0

Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.