Iowa vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
  • Illinois is a -10.5 point favorite vs Iowa
  • Total (Over/Under): 165.5 points
  • Iowa / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Iowa Hawkeyes visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Iowa vs. Illinois Over/Under is 165.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa+10.5 -110O 165.5 -110+425
Illinois -10.5 -110U 165.5 -110-600

Iowa vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+1.25 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+0.50 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+8.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 38 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.50 Units / 3% ROI)

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 12-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.75 Units / -22.08% ROI).

  • 17-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 14-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.1 Units / -14.78% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -3.02% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.08% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -22.87% ROI

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (566 assists/ 306 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (593 assists/ 315 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (566 assists/ 306 TOs) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Iowa has a 27% free throw rate (516 free throw attempts/1,941 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 905 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has averaged 81.8 points per game (2,209 points/27 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Illinois has attempted 939 threes this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has attempted 939 threes this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (721/1,436) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Iowa has allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (2,023 points/1,436 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Iowa has allowed 41.3 points per game (2,641 points/64 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 37.2

Iowa stole the ball 226 times last season — 5th most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (922 rebounds/31 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Illinois has forced 7.8 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/27 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Illinois has averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,978 rebounds/68 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (922 rebounds/31 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.1


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