Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2023, 5:05 PM
  • Michigan State (13-7) are -2.5 point favorites vs Iowa (12-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Iowa Hawkeyes (12-7) visit Jack Breslin Students Events Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (13-7) on Jan. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in East Lansing.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Iowa vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa+2.5 -110145.5 -110+125
Michigan State -2.5 -110145.5 -110-150

Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 56.1% confidence.

Iowa vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Michigan State vs Iowa and all games with BetMGM


  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has gone 11-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -1.22% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has gone 11-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / 0% ROI

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (324 assists/ 195 TOs) this season — 2nd best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (324 assists/ 195 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has averaged 88.1 points per game (2,906 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (901 assists/ 526 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (211/551) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 39% from three (280/720) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State has averaged 69.6 points per game (1,393 points/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.9

Michigan State has a 25% free throw rate (292 free throw attempts/1,156 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has averaged 6.5 steals per game (124 steals/19 games) this season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Iowa has 124 steals this season — 5th most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has 388 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has averaged 7.7 steals per game (253 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has forced 9.6 turnovers per game (192 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.9

Michigan State has forced 9.0 turnovers per game (126 turnovers/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.3

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (230/800) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (389/1,244) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.