Iowa State vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 26

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Iowa State is a -7.5 point favorite vs Dayton
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Iowa State / Dayton TV channel: ESPNU

The Iowa State Cyclones visit Lahaina Civic Center to take on the Dayton Flyers on Nov. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Lahaina, HI.

Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-120).

The Iowa State vs. Dayton Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State-7.5 -120O 142.5 -110-350
Dayton +7.5 +100U 142.5 -110+280

Iowa State vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa State vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+17.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.61% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 4-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.01% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. shot 53% off the dribble (107/203) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa St. shot 31% from three (101/328) in the first half last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (476 assists/ 332 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State forced 17.2 turnovers per game (636 turnovers/37 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Iowa State forced 16.2 turnovers per game (422 turnovers/26 games) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three off the dribble (8/38) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 29%

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.