Jacksonville State vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
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  • Liberty is a -10.5 point favorite vs Jacksonville State
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Jacksonville State / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Jacksonville State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Jacksonville State vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 75.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Jacksonville State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Jacksonville State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Jacksonville State has a 2-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -12.24% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 0.91% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (3,047 points/2,737 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Liberty allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (291 rebounds/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 25.9

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (139 turnovers/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 12.9

Jacksonville State allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,919 points/1,566 shots) last season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Jacksonville State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (249 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Jacksonville State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,134/2,815) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (3,047 points/2,737 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Liberty allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (291 rebounds/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 25.9

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Jacksonville State has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (139 turnovers/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 12.9

Jacksonville State allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,919 points/1,566 shots) last season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Jacksonville State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (249 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Jacksonville State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,134/2,815) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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