James Madison vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

Close up of the Texas State coach
(AP Photo)
  • Texas State is a -1.5 point favorite vs James Madison
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • James Madison / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The James Madison Dukes visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Marcos, TX, USA.

Texas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The James Madison vs. Texas State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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James Madison vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
James Madison+1.5 -120O 144.5 -115-102
Texas State -1.5 +100U 144.5 -105-118

James Madison vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this college basketball game with 78.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

James Madison vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • James Madison has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)

James Madison Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

James Madison has a 11-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -21.32% ROI).

  • 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 6.84% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -18.45% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.12% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -11.65% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -12.65% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 19.48% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -28.25% ROI

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison averaged 83.8 points per game (2,766 points/33 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.0

James Madison has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (890 assists/ 659 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

James Madison averaged 16.2 assists per game (533 assists/33 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 12.8

James Madison averaged 1.33 points per shot (2,766 points/2,074 shots) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Texas State averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (441 turnovers/34 games) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison averaged 9.1 steals per game (301 steals/33 games) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

James Madison averaged 9.1 steals per game (301 steals/33 games) last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

James Madison averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (875 rebounds/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

James Madison has averaged 6.1 steals per game (183 steals/30 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (218/585) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas State stole the ball 245 times last season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams

Texas State has 445 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.