Kansas State vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

(AP Photo)
  • Cincinnati is a -8.5 point favorite vs Kansas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Kansas State / Cincinnati TV channel: ESPN+

The Kansas State Wildcats visit Fifth Third Arena to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH, USA.

Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Kansas State vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State+8.5 -110O 137.5 -115+320
Cincinnati -8.5 -110U 137.5 -105-425

Kansas State vs Cincinnati Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kansas State vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+9.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+1.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+9.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+4.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 0.54% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -7.69% ROI).

  • 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 9-20 when betting the Over for -13 Units / -40.75% ROI
  • 20-9 when betting the Under for +10.1 Units / 31.66% ROI

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. averaged 2.2 turnovers per game (42 turnovers/19 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 3.3

Kansas St. attempted 301 threes in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Cincinnati has 14.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.7

Cincinnati has a 24% free throw rate (415 free throw attempts/1,730 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Cincinnati is shooting 68% from the free throw line (681/1,003) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas St. allowed 55.0 points per game (1,155 points/21 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50.5

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (43/102) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (923 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Cincinnati averaged 6.7 steals per game (235 steals/35 games) last season — 5th lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Cincinnati stole the ball 235 times last season — 5th most among Big 12 Teams

Cincinnati has averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,605 rebounds/64 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.