Kent State vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 11:10 AM
  • Toledo (27-6) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Kent State (27-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Kent State Golden Flashes (27-6) visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Toledo Rockets (27-6) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Kent State vs. Toledo Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Kent State vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State+1.5 -120O 149.5 -110-110
Toledo -1.5 +100U 149.5 -110-110

Kent State vs Toledo Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 52.4% confidence.

Kent State vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Toledo, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Kent State has hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 47 games (+22.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kent State have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games (+11.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in their last 17 games (+17.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 29 games (+17.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Kent State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kent State has gone 19-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 4.92% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting the Over for -11 Units / -32.26% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting the Under for +7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has gone 21-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.9 Units / 25.25% ROI).

  • 26-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -2.89% ROI
  • 22-9 when betting the Over for +12.1 Units / 34.38% ROI
  • 9-22 when betting the Under for -15.2 Units / -43.18% ROI

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kent State has made 8.1 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Kent State has averaged 75.5 points per game (1,660 points/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Kent State is shooting 44% (595/1,339) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Kent State is shooting 34% from three (178/531) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo is shooting 48% (1,689/3,497) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has a TS% of 51% this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (856 assists/ 571 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (335 assists/ 225 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kent State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (205 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Kent State has averaged 8.0 steals per game (447 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Kent State has 205 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Kent State has averaged 8.0 steals per game (447 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has 154 steals this season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 7.0 steals per game (154 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Toledo has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Toledo has 343 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.