Kentucky vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Arkansas is a -6.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Kentucky / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Fayetteville, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Kentucky vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 72.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+23.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 37 games (+16.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 8-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -0.23% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Over for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Under for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 14-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 27.21% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 0.73% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has averaged 8.7 assists per game (753 assists/87 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (185 assists/ 85 TOs) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas has averaged 4.0 turnovers per game (85 turnovers/21 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed 36.1 points per game (759 points/21 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 39.2

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,415 rebounds/87 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (509/1,231) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,335 points/945 shots) in the second half last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33

Arkansas has allowed 76.0 points per game (6,688 points/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.