- Arkansas (19-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Kentucky (20-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Kentucky Wildcats (20-10) visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (19-11) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Fayetteville.
Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Kentucky vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 141.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kentucky | +4.5 -115 | O 141.5 -110 | +155 |
| Arkansas | -4.5 -105 | U 141.5 -110 | -190 |
Kentucky vs Arkansas Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 60.9% confidence.
Kentucky vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Arkansas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+20.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+17.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has gone 14-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -25.81% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.35 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.75% ROI
- 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -20.3% ROI
- 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.52% ROI
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (296 assists/ 257 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Kentucky is shooting 50% (1,092/2,183) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 45%
Kentucky is shooting 47% (1,642/3,466) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas has 22.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7
Arkansas is shooting 25% from three (44/174) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%
Arkansas has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas has made 5.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,899 points/1,587 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Kentucky has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.1
Kentucky has allowed 33.2 points per game (731 points/22 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35.4
Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (144/434) this season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,589 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Arkansas has 473 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among Power Conference teams
Arkansas has averaged 8.8 steals per game (343 steals/39 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0
Arkansas has averaged 8.0 steals per game (473 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
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