Kentucky vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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  • Florida is a -13.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Kentucky / Florida TV channel: ABC

The Kentucky Wildcats visit Stephen C. O'Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00 pm in Gainesville, FL.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. Florida Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+13.5 -110O 154.5 -110+700
Florida -13.5 -110U 154.5 -110-1100

Kentucky vs Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 0.11% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -0.66% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting the Over for -9.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting the Under for +7.2 Units / 27.27% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.5 offensive rebounds per game (395 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8

Florida is shooting 29% from three (177/607) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Florida is shooting 28% from three (87/306) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Kentucky has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,490 rebounds/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (715 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.5

Florida allowed 79.2 points per game (2,851 points/36 games) last season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Florida has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.5

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (676/2,167) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.