Kentucky vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 11:56 AM
  • Kentucky (18-9) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Florida (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats (18-9) visit Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center to take on the Florida Gators (14-13) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Gainesville.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. Florida Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky-2.5 -110O 140.5 -110-145
Florida +2.5 -110U 140.5 -110+120

Kentucky vs Florida Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 57.9% confidence.

Kentucky vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has gone 12-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -24.86% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -13.46% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kentucky is shooting 47% (1,642/3,466) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (296 assists/ 257 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Kentucky is shooting 50% (1,092/2,183) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 5.2 turnovers per game (115 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Florida is shooting 31% from three (419/1,348) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida is shooting 47% (300/637) in the second half this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Florida has averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (324 turnovers/56 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,899 points/1,587 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Kentucky has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Kentucky has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 6.5 steals per game (144 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (517/1,323) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Florida has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,419 points/1,323 shots) this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.16

Florida has allowed 65.7 points per game (3,680 points/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.