- Iowa State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Kentucky / Iowa State TV channel: CBS
The Kentucky Wildcats visit Enterprise Center to take on the Iowa State Cyclones on Mar. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 2:45 pm.
Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Kentucky vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kentucky | +4.5 -110 | O 145.5 -110 | +170 |
| Iowa State | -4.5 -110 | U 145.5 -110 | -210 |
Kentucky vs Iowa State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this March Madness college basketball game with 58.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Kentucky vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Iowa State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 18-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -1.82% ROI).
- 21-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -0.11% ROI
- 18-17 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -1.82% ROI
- 17-18 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -7.27% ROI
Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Iowa State has a 21-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.6 Units / 14.6% ROI).
- 24-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 0.86% ROI
- 15-20 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 20-15 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 9.09% ROI
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Iowa State has an eFG% of 55% in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Iowa St. shot 53% off the dribble (107/203) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2
Iowa St. averaged 0.92 points per shot (108 points/118 shots) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.73
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (422/975) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 45%
Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky has allowed 80.2 points per game (5,858 points/73 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.9
Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (554/1,789) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Iowa State forced 17.2 turnovers per game (636 turnovers/37 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Iowa State has forced 15.0 turnovers per game (1,201 turnovers/80 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.1
Iowa State forced 16.2 turnovers per game (422 turnovers/26 games) last season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3
Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%
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