Kentucky vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2023, 11:41 AM
  • Mississippi State (17-8) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Kentucky (16-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Kentucky Wildcats (16-9) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-8) on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Starkville.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+2.5 -105O 128.5 -115+130
Mississippi State -2.5 -115U 128.5 -105-160

Kentucky vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 55.8% confidence.

Kentucky vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 37 games (+22.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has gone 10-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.4 Units / -28.55% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has gone 13-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.43% ROI
  • 7-18 when betting the Over for -12.8 Units / -46.55% ROI
  • 18-7 when betting the Under for +10.3 Units / 37.45% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky is shooting 47% (1,642/3,466) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (439 assists/ 320 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (909 assists/ 648 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 26% from three (90/353) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (128/455) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,502 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,899 points/1,587 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Kentucky has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,733 points/3,275 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.