- Mississippi State (17-8) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Kentucky (16-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
- Watch the game on SEC Network
The Kentucky Wildcats (16-9) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-8) on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Starkville.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 128.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Kentucky | +2.5 -105 | O 128.5 -115 | +130 |
Mississippi State | -2.5 -115 | U 128.5 -105 | -160 |
Kentucky vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 55.8% confidence.
Kentucky vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 37 games (+22.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has gone 10-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.4 Units / -28.55% ROI
- 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI
- 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has gone 13-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.43% ROI
- 7-18 when betting the Over for -12.8 Units / -46.55% ROI
- 18-7 when betting the Under for +10.3 Units / 37.45% ROI
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky is shooting 47% (1,642/3,466) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (439 assists/ 320 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (909 assists/ 648 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Mississippi State is shooting 26% from three (90/353) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (128/455) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,502 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,899 points/1,587 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Kentucky has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.0
Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,733 points/3,275 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams
Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7
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