Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

(AP Photo)
  • Tennessee is a -9.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Kentucky / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats visit Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Knoxville, TN, USA.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Kentucky vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+9.5 -115O 147.5 -115+350
Tennessee -9.5 -105U 147.5 -105-475

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.82 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -10.26% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 1% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 14% ROI).

  • 16-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.9 Units / 0.63% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.35 Units / -33.33% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.15% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky has a 27% free throw rate (278 free throw attempts/1,031 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has averaged 88.7 points per game (4,347 points/49 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.3

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (551 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee averaged 16.7 assists per game (551 assists/33 games) last season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Tennessee averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/33 games) in the second half last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Tennessee averaged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/33 games) last season — 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Kentucky has allowed 37.1 points per game (705 points/19 games) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32.1

Kentucky has allowed 76.0 points per game (1,444 points/19 games) this season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 68.3

Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (132/519) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (885 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tennessee has allowed 60.8 points per game (791 points/13 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 77.3

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (374/1,290) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.