- Tennessee is a -3.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
- Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
- Kentucky / Tennessee TV channel: TBS
The Kentucky Wildcats visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers on Mar. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:39pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.
Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Kentucky vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 144.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Kentucky | +3.5 -110 | O 144.5 -110 | +150 |
Tennessee | -3.5 -110 | U 144.5 -110 | -185 |
Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 78.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Kentucky vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+13.10 Units / 2% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Tennessee Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+13.15 Units / 1% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 38 games (+1.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 18-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.85 Units / -2.2% ROI).
- 23-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.1 Units / 1.69% ROI
- 19-16 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 3.64% ROI
- 16-19 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -12.73% ROI
Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tennessee has a 18-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -4.77% ROI).
- 28-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 0.79% ROI
- 16-20 when betting the Over for -6.05 Units / -15.26% ROI
- 20-16 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 6.07% ROI
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Kentucky averaged 30% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (583 free throw attempts/1,943 field goal attempts) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (556 assists/ 380 TOs) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,107 assists/ 720 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Tennessee averaged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/33 games) last season — 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Tennessee has averaged 74.6 points per game (2,685 points/36 games) this season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 79.2
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (998 rebounds/35 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Kentucky has allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Kentucky has averaged 28.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,845 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Kentucky has allowed 82.2 points per game (3,779 points/46 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 75.8
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (261/923) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,528/3,949) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%
Tennessee has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (2,394 points/1,963 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.32
Tennessee has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (4,491 points/3,949 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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