Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 29

Middle Tennessee head coach Nick McDevitt yells to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Florida Atlantic, Thursday, Feb. 16, 2023, in Murfreesboro, Tenn. (AP Photo/Wade Payne)
(AP Photo/Wade Payne)
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  • Liberty is a -1.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Liberty / Middle Tennessee TV channel: CBSN

The Liberty Flames visit Murphy Center to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Murfreesboro, TN.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Liberty-1.5 -115O 136.5 -110-135
Middle Tennessee +1.5 -105U 136.5 -110+110

Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 56.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+17.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+14.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.15 Units / 0.8% ROI).

  • 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 2.09% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.38% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 1.29% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (164 turnovers/19 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Liberty has an eFG% of 61% this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 52%

Liberty is shooting 40% from three (198/492) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 35%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,398 assists/ 825 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (305 assists/ 417 TOs) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Middle Tennessee averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Middle Tennessee shot 30% from three (221/724) last season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Middle Tennessee averaged 9.8 assists per game (305 assists/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (3,506 points/3,126 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (170/546) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,287 points/1,095 shots) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.8

Middle Tennessee allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,186 points/1,827 shots) last season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Middle Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (469/1,108) this season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.