- Liberty is a -3.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- Liberty / New Mexico State TV channel: ESPN+
The Liberty Flames visit Pan American Center to take on the New Mexico State Aggies on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Las Cruces, NM.
Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Liberty vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
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Liberty vs. New Mexico State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 53.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Liberty vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Liberty Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+16.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
New Mexico State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Liberty has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.77% ROI).
- 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.75 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
- 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
New Mexico State has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -35.63% ROI
- 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has averaged 1.46 points per shot (1,725 points/1,185 shots) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.28
Liberty is shooting 52% (618/1,185) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 44%
Liberty has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (850 turnovers/87 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Liberty has an eFG% of 62% this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 51%
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:
New Mexico State shot 46% from inside the arc (239/525) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
New Mexico State has an eFG% of 50% this season — 4th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 51%
New Mexico State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (343 assists/ 350 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
New Mexico State is shooting 72% from the free throw line (344/478) this season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 70%
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,716 points/3,287 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24
Liberty has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (1,497 points/1,256 shots) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.25
Liberty allowed 65.4 points per game (1,961 points/30 games) last season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Liberty averaged 5.1 steals per game (154 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:
New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (386/1,300) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 33%
New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (386/1,300) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (519/1,275) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 42%
New Mexico State has allowed 7.2 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.8
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