Liberty vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

• Liberty is a -2.5 point favorite vs Western Kentucky
• Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
• Liberty / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The Liberty Flames visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Liberty vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Liberty vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Liberty vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.

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Liberty Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 31 games (+16.15 Units / 3% ROI)
• Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 6% ROI)
• Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Western Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.35 Units / 7% ROI)
• Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.85 Units / -11.18% ROI).

• 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 1.78% ROI
• 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
• 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI).

• 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.68% ROI
• 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
• 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (3,386 points/3,028 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (2,219 points/2,031 shots) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.21

Liberty allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (170/546) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Liberty has allowed 65.2 points per game (5,347 points/82 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 71.3

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 42% (845/2,023) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Western Kentucky averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (899 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (418/1,011) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Western Kentucky allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (2,398 points/2,023 shots) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (3,386 points/3,028 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Liberty allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (2,219 points/2,031 shots) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.21

Liberty allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (170/546) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Liberty has allowed 65.2 points per game (5,347 points/82 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 71.3

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 42% (845/2,023) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Western Kentucky averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (899 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (418/1,011) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Western Kentucky allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (2,398 points/2,023 shots) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

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