Little Rock vs Tennessee State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 29

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  • Tennessee State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Little Rock
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Little Rock / Tennessee State TV channel: ESPN+

The Little Rock Trojans visit Gentry Center to take on the Tennessee State Tigers on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Nashville, TN.

Tennessee State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Little Rock vs. Tennessee State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Little Rock vs. Tennessee State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Little Rock vs Tennessee State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee State will win this college basketball game with 67.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Little Rock vs Tennessee State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee State will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+16.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tennessee State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tennessee State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)

Little Rock Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Little Rock has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -15.19% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -8.95% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 38.64% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI

Little Rock Offensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has 17.8 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 20.8

Little Rock had a TS% of 49% last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Little Rock has made 6.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Little Rock shot 35% from three (213/606) last season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,577 points/1,964 shots) last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Tennessee State has averaged 81.4 points per game (1,627 points/20 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.5

Tennessee State has averaged 79.3 points per game (4,204 points/53 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Tennessee State shot 44% (763/1,731) last season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Little Rock Defensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 7.2

Little Rock has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/20 games) this season — lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Little Rock allowed opponents to shoot 40% (732/1,847) last season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Little Rock has forced 13.2 turnovers per game (265 turnovers/20 games) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 12.5

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has forced 14.5 turnovers per game (290 turnovers/20 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 12.5

Tennessee State has averaged 10.0 steals per game (200 steals/20 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Tennessee State has allowed 76.8 points per game (1,537 points/20 games) this season — 2nd highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 72.6

Tennessee State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (684 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.