Little Rock vs Tennessee State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

Man wearing a formal jacket, pointing towards a playing side on the basketball field
(AP Photo)
  • Tennessee State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Little Rock
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Little Rock / Tennessee State TV channel: ESPN+

The Little Rock Trojans visit Gentry Center to take on the Tennessee State Tigers on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Nashville, TN.

Tennessee State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Little Rock vs. Tennessee State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Little Rock vs. Tennessee State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Little Rock+1.5 -115O 142.5 -105-105
Tennessee State -1.5 -105U 142.5 -115-115

Little Rock vs Tennessee State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Little Rock will win this college basketball game with 77.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Little Rock vs Tennessee State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee State will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 29 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Little Rock Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Little Rock has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 17.61% ROI
  • 2-9 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI
  • 9-2 when betting the Under for +6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -20.86% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.68% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.75 Units / -47.72% ROI

Little Rock Offensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has averaged 67.2 points per game (874 points/13 games) this season — lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Little Rock averaged 77.5 points per game (2,480 points/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Little Rock has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (185 assists/ 182 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Little Rock has averaged 14.2 assists per game (185 assists/13 games) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (589 turnovers/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Tennessee State has averaged 79.3 points per game (1,110 points/14 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Tennessee State has averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/14 games) this season — highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Tennessee State has averaged 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (198 rebounds/14 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Little Rock Defensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (315 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Little Rock has averaged 9.0 steals per game (117 steals/13 games) this season — 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Little Rock has averaged 9.0 steals per game (117 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Little Rock averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (768 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (386 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Tennessee State averaged 6.8 steals per game (203 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Tennessee State has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (386 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Tennessee State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (684 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.