Louisville vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

Baylor basketball team coach.
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  • Louisville is a -6.5 point favorite vs Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
  • Louisville / Baylor TV channel: ESPN

The Louisville Cardinals visit Dickies Arena to take on the Baylor Bears on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Fort Worth, TX.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Louisville vs. Baylor Over/Under is 163.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville-6.5 -115O 163.5 -110-295
Baylor +6.5 -105U 163.5 -110+230

Louisville vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / -4.36% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 0.37% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.45 Units / -20.6% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.39% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.04% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville has made 11.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.5

Louisville made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor had an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 54%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (279/741) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.