Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 23

• Louisville is a -2.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
• Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points
• Louisville / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN

The Louisville Cardinals visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Feb. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Chapel Hill, NC.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Louisville vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 162.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.

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Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 0% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 4% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:

• North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 17 games at home (+16.20 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.90 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.35 Units / -7.91% ROI).

• 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 0.37% ROI
• 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.65 Units / -22.35% ROI
• 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.15% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.05% ROI).

• 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.25 Units / 0.8% ROI
• 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
• 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville has made 11.8 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Louisville has made 11.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.4

Louisville made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 4.0 turnovers per game (107 turnovers/27 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (507 assists/ 287 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (216 assists/ 107 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Carolina allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (2,492 points/2,158 shots) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

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