Louisville vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 12

A close up of a team manager wearing a red suit talking to his team
(AP Photo)
  • Louisville is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Louisville / North Carolina State TV channel: ESPN2

The Louisville Cardinals visit Lenovo Center to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Raleigh, NC, USA.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Louisville vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville-6.5 -118O 142.5 -110-300
North Carolina State +6.5 -102U 142.5 -110+240

Louisville vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+10.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+9.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+8.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.56 Units / 7% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.3% ROI).

  • 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 2.76% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting the Over for -9.7 Units / -36.47% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting the Under for +7.35 Units / 28% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 8-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.5 Units / -33.53% ROI).

  • 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -2% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting the Over for -8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting the Under for +6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville is shooting 29% from three (224/773) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 12.0 assists per game (276 assists/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

North Carolina State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

North Carolina State has averaged 1.22 points per shot (791 points/650 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (510 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4

North Carolina State has averaged 7.5 steals per game (263 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

North Carolina State averaged 7.3 steals per game (286 steals/39 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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