Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
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  • Louisville is a -7.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Louisville / Pittsburgh TV channel: ESPN2

The Louisville Cardinals visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Louisville vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville-7.5 -105O 151.5 -110-300
Pittsburgh +7.5 -115U 151.5 -110240

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 63.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+9.35 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.25 Units / 1.34% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 0.11% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Over for -4.05 Units / -21.6% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.33% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.19% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -3.92% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville is shooting 33% from three (698/2,133) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville is shooting 33% from three (698/2,133) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.