- Louisville is a -4.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
- Louisville / SMU TV channel: ESPN2
The Louisville Cardinals visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Dallas, TX.
Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-102).
The Louisville vs. SMU Over/Under is 166.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Louisville vs SMU Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 56.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Louisville vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.
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Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 17% ROI)
SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.95 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.15 Units / -0.55% ROI).
- 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 0.42% ROI
- 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -23.78% ROI
- 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.57% ROI
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.35 Units / -19.42% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 0.96% ROI
- 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI
- 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Louisville made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (973 assists/ 607 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (441 assists/ 287 TOs) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
SMU is shooting 49% (779/1,575) this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%
Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 8.7 steals per game (471 steals/54 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
SMU has allowed 10.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.5
SMU allowed opponents to shoot 41% (762/1,857) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
SMU has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (1,939 points/1,552 shots) this season — 5th highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22
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