- Virginia (22-6) is a -18.5 point favorite vs Louisville (4-26)
- Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN2
The Louisville Cardinals (4-26) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (22-6) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Charlottesville.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).
The Louisville vs. Virginia Over/Under is 127.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Louisville | +18.5 -110 | O 127.5 -110 | +1200 |
Virginia | -18.5 -110 | U 127.5 -110 | -3000 |
Louisville vs Virginia Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 79.0% confidence.
Louisville vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+13.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+3.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Louisville has gone 12-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 4-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -41.72% ROI
- 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has gone 11-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 6.85% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Louisville has averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (172 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.6
Louisville has averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (357 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2
Louisville has averaged 9.0 assists per game (198 assists/22 games) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (159 assists/ 97 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Louisville has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Louisville has averaged 5.4 steals per game (118 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Louisville has allowed 74.5 points per game (1,638 points/22 games) this season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Louisville has allowed 35.7 points per game (785 points/22 games) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.0
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
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