LSU vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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LSU vs Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

LSU vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 76.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

LSU vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 away games (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+20.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+15.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+11.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)

Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.6% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 0.4% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI

Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

has a 13-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.4 Units / 30.55% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 0.6% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (651 turnovers/53 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 10.9

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (1,061 assists/ 1,039 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

LSU has a 30% free throw rate (537 free throw attempts/1,760 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35%

LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (221/551) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (86/227) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

LSU has allowed 35.9 points per game (683 points/19 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 39.1

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (474/1,149) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,262 rebounds/86 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.