LSU vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
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  • Kentucky is a -9.5 point favorite vs LSU
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • LSU / Kentucky TV channel: SECN

The LSU Tigers visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30 pm.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The LSU vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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LSU vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

LSU vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 71.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

LSU vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 17-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 4.71% ROI).

  • 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -0.55% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -0.26% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

LSU has averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (728 turnovers/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 10.8

LSU averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/31 games) last season — 3rd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has forced 10.0 turnovers per game (309 turnovers/31 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (136/356) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (118/352) in the second half this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

LSU has averaged 6.1 steals per game (190 steals/31 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (777/1,838) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (239/744) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (809 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 23.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.