LSU vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
  • Kentucky is a -12.5 point favorite vs LSU
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • LSU / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN2

The LSU Tigers visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lexington, KY, USA.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The LSU vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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LSU vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU+12.5 -105O 157.5 -105+625
Kentucky -12.5 -115U 157.5 -115-1000

LSU vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

LSU vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 away games (+4.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+0.60 Units / 0% ROI)

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -10.83% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 0.28% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -8.41% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.26% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.65 Units / -8.29% ROI).

  • 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 1.04% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

LSU averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (382 assists/ 376 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (177 assists/ 184 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,103 points/1,817 shots) this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

LSU has allowed an average of 0.99 points per shot (898 points/905 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.12

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (760/1,817) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (760/1,817) this season — tied for 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (826 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.2

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky has allowed 77.2 points per game (2,240 points/29 games) this season — 46th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Kentucky has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/29 games) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.