- Mississippi State is a -11.5 point favorite vs LSU
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
- LSU / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN
The LSU Tigers visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Starkville, MS, USA.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The LSU vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.
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LSU vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| LSU | +11.5 -105 | O 148.5 -110 | +550 |
| Mississippi State | -11.5 -115 | U 148.5 -110 | -800 |
LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
LSU vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.
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LSU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+2.70 Units / 0% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+2.25 Units / 0% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
LSU has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.35 Units / -7.64% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -11.94% ROI
- 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.29% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -17.86% ROI).
- 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 0.47% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.75 Units / 8.93% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.65 Units / -18.34% ROI
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:
LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (372 assists/ 367 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
LSU is shooting 28% from three (107/377) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (545/795) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (377 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Mississippi State averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Mississippi State averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/32 games) last season — 5th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3
LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:
LSU has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (2,022 points/1,766 shots) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
LSU has allowed an average of 0.98 points per shot (863 points/879 shots) in the first half this season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.12
LSU averaged 8.0 steals per game (249 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
LSU allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (1,192 points/941 shots) in the second half last season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 9.4 steals per game (263 steals/28 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Mississippi State has averaged 9.4 steals per game (263 steals/28 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9
Mississippi State has allowed 10.3 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (519 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
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