- Mississippi State is a -8.5 point favorite vs LSU
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- LSU / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN
The LSU Tigers visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN, TN, USA.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The LSU vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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LSU vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| LSU | +8.5 -110 | O 145.5 -115 | +320 |
| Mississippi State | -8.5 -110 | U 145.5 -105 | -425 |
LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 79.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
LSU vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence for today’s game.
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LSU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 0% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
LSU has a 13-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.65 Units / -16.59% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -8.16% ROI
- 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 14-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -13.49% ROI).
- 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.06% ROI
- 19-12 when betting the Over for +5.75 Units / 16.86% ROI
- 12-19 when betting the Under for -8.95 Units / -26.25% ROI
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:
LSU averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/31 games) last season — 3rd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3
LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (772 assists/ 814 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (401 assists/ 404 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
LSU is shooting 28% from three (116/416) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 32% from three (484/1,535) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (911/1,323) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Mississippi State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (475 assists/ 329 TOs) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:
LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,601/3,793) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
LSU has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,264 points/1,940 shots) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
LSU has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,264 points/1,940 shots) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.22
LSU has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (2,729 points/2,404 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.17
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has allowed 10.2 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State has averaged 9.1 steals per game (283 steals/31 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9
Mississippi State has averaged 9.1 steals per game (283 steals/31 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Mississippi State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (539 steals/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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