Marquette vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

Man in a suit shouting with his fist in the air.
(AP Photo)
  • UConn is a -4.5 point favorite vs Marquette
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Marquette / UConn TV channel: FS1

The Marquette Golden Eagles visit Harry A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the UConn Huskies on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Storrs, CT, USA.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Marquette vs. UConn Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Marquette vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Marquette+4.5 -115O 144.5 -110+155
UConn -4.5 -105U 144.5 -110-190

Marquette vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Marquette will win this college basketball game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Marquette vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Marquette has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+8.80 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Marquette have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+10.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 39 games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)

Marquette Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marquette has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

  • 22-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 1.51% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 11-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -1.78% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.97% ROI

Marquette Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has averaged 4.1 turnovers per game (120 turnovers/29 games) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 5.7

Marquette has averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (265 turnovers/29 games) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (960 assists/ 612 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (413 assists/ 265 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn assisted on 734 field goals last season — most among Big East Teams

UConn assisted on 369 field goals in the second half last season — most among Big East Teams

UConn had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (734 assists/ 376 TOs) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

UConn has 799 assists at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big East Teams

Marquette Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette forced 14.8 turnovers per game (517 turnovers/35 games) last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Marquette forced 14.8 turnovers per game (517 turnovers/35 games) last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Marquette has forced 16.2 turnovers per game (614 turnovers/38 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Marquette has averaged 9.9 steals per game (377 steals/38 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,051 rebounds/39 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UConn allowed opponents to shoot 39% (873/2,215) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn has averaged 6.0 steals per game (244 steals/41 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UConn allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.