Marshall vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Marshall is a -2.5 point favorite vs Texas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Marshall / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Marshall Thundering Herd visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Marcos, TX.

Marshall is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Marshall vs. Texas State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Marshall vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Marshall vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this college basketball game with 58.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Marshall vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Marshall has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Marshall Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marshall has a 7-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.25 Units / -29.83% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.06% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 7-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI).

  • 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -10.83% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI

Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marshall has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,300 assists/ 980 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marshall is shooting 37% from three (211/567) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Marshall has a TS% of 51% this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 47%

Marshall averaged 1.15 points per shot (2,294 points/1,989 shots) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has made 4.7 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Marshall Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marshall has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (496/1,205) this season — 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Marshall allowed opponents to shoot 45% (876/1,951) last season — tied for 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Marshall has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/20 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Marshall allowed 7.8 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (235/641) last season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (508/1,155) this season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Texas State averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (795 rebounds/34 games) last season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.