Maryland vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2023, 11:20 AM
  • Alabama (30-5) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Maryland (22-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Maryland Terrapins (22-12) visit Legacy Arena at BJCC to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (30-5) on Mar. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Birmingham.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Maryland vs. Alabama Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Maryland vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maryland+8.5 -105O 144.5 -110+350
Alabama -8.5 -115U 144.5 -110-450

Maryland vs Alabama Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this March Madness game with 66.8% confidence.

Maryland vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games (+20.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+4.45 Units / 5% ROI)

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has gone 22-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.75 Units / 23.36% ROI).

  • 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 7% ROI
  • 11-22 when betting the Over for -13.2 Units / -35.29% ROI
  • 22-11 when betting the Under for +9.9 Units / 26.47% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has gone 20-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.5 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 25-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.4 Units / 14.49% ROI
  • 16-18 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -9.87% ROI
  • 18-16 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 1.04% ROI

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland is shooting 29% from three (169/576) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland is shooting 28% from three (73/257) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland has averaged 5.4 assists per game (289 assists/54 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Maryland has averaged 10.9 assists per game (239 assists/22 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 111 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Alabama has 702 defensive rebounds this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (498 turnovers/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has averaged 6.1 steals per game (328 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Maryland has averaged 6.1 steals per game (128 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Maryland has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (238 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Maryland has forced 12.4 turnovers per game (272 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (223 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.