Maryland vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2023, 10:26 AM
  • Penn State (18-12) is a Penn St -3.5 point favorite vs Maryland (20-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Maryland Terrapins (20-10) visit Bryce Jordan Center to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (18-12) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in University Park.

Penn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Maryland vs. Penn State Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Maryland vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maryland+3.5 -115O 134.5 -110+135
Penn State -3.5 -105U 134.5 -110-160

Maryland vs Penn State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 56.0% confidence.

Maryland vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has gone 19-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.85 Units / 20.73% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 7.69% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Over for -8.8 Units / -26.67% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 17.88% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has gone 18-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 9.42% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland is shooting 29% from three (169/576) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland is shooting 28% from three (73/257) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland is shooting 79% from the free throw line (541/686) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 73%

Maryland is shooting 30% from three (199/664) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.6 offensive rebounds per game (123 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Penn State has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (190 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has a 19% free throw rate (238 free throw attempts/1,281 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has averaged 6.1 steals per game (328 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Maryland has averaged 6.1 steals per game (128 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Maryland has allowed 32.0 points per game (703 points/22 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34.1

Maryland has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (265/623) in the first half this season — 4th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.