Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

Chattanooga head coach Dan Earl directs his team during the first half of an NCAA men's college basketball championship game against Furman for the Southern Conference tournament, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Asheville, N.C. (AP Photo/Kathy Kmonicek)
(AP Photo/Kathy Kmonicek)
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  • Mercer is a -4.5 point favorite vs Chattanooga
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Mercer / Chattanooga TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears visit McKenzie Arena to take on the Chattanooga Mocs on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Chattanooga, TN.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Mercer vs. Chattanooga Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. Chattanooga Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Mercer vs Chattanooga Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mercer will win this college basketball game with 71.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs Chattanooga Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+15.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Chattanooga have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 16-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.6 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 5.51% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

Chattanooga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Chattanooga has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -34.64% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 85.9 points per game (1,975 points/23 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 77.2

Mercer has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (281 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.5

Mercer averaged 1.19 points per shot (2,192 points/1,843 shots) last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Mercer averaged 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (310 rebounds/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Chattanooga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga shot 61% from inside the arc (412/673) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Chattanooga has a TS% of 51% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 48%

Chattanooga had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (646 assists/ 368 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Chattanooga has made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has forced 13.1 turnovers per game (301 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Mercer averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (678 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mercer has allowed 75.6 points per game (1,739 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 75.4

Mercer has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (623/1,472) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Chattanooga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/23 games) this season — 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Chattanooga has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (177/550) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Chattanooga allowed 69.3 points per game (2,219 points/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.5

Chattanooga allowed opponents to shoot 42% (803/1,930) last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.