Mercer vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 28

A Georgia State Panthers player dribbling the ball with an opponent falling in an attempt to defend
(AP Photo)
  • Georgia State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mercer
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Mercer / Georgia State TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears visit GSU Convocation Center to take on the Georgia State Panthers on Dec. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

Georgia State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Mercer vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mercer+1.5 -115O 157.5 -115+100
Georgia State -1.5 -105U 157.5 -105-120

Mercer vs Georgia State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mercer will win this college basketball game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+7.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 6-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -5.05% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Georgia State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Georgia State has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -38.89% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -12.45% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.55 Units / 4.53% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer is shooting 47% (375/798) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 45%

Mercer has a TS% of 50% this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 49%

Mercer has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,003 points/798 shots) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Mercer has averaged 83.6 points per game (1,003 points/12 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 77.1

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (291 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Georgia State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (137 assists/ 161 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Georgia State has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Georgia State averaged 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (287 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 10.5 steals per game (126 steals/12 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Mercer averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (678 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mercer averaged 6.9 steals per game (215 steals/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Mercer has averaged 7.9 steals per game (341 steals/43 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Georgia State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State averaged 5.8 steals per game (179 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Georgia State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (248 steals/43 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Georgia State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (69 steals/12 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Georgia State averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (779 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.