Mercer vs Samford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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  • Mercer is a -1.5 point favorite vs Samford
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Mercer / Samford TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears visit Pete Hanna Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Homewood, AL.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Mercer vs. Samford Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mercer-1.5 -105O 161.5 -110-118
Samford +1.5 -115U 161.5 -110-102

Mercer vs Samford Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 51.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs Samford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 16-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.5 Units / 45.45% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 2.93% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.14% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -6.96% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -17.36% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 85.4 points per game (2,050 points/24 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 77.2

Mercer has averaged 85.4 points per game (2,050 points/24 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.3

Mercer has 23.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 20.3

Mercer is shooting 46% (709/1,535) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 45%

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford averaged 86.4 points per game (2,937 points/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Samford has averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (188 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Samford assisted on 599 field goals last season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has 21.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 18.8

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (678 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mercer has forced 13.2 turnovers per game (316 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 10.6

Mercer has averaged 8.7 steals per game (209 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Mercer has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (648/1,518) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford forced 16.0 turnovers per game (544 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Samford forced 16.0 turnovers per game (544 turnovers/34 games) last season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Samford forced 15.3 turnovers per game (506 turnovers/33 games) last season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Samford averaged 10.0 steals per game (341 steals/34 games) last season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.