Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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  • Mercer is a -9.5 point favorite vs The Citadel
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Mercer / The Citadel TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears visit McAlister Field House to take on the The Citadel Bulldogs on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Charleston, SC.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Mercer vs. The Citadel Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. The Citadel Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mercer-9.5 -115O 147.5 -110-500
The Citadel +9.5 -105U 147.5 -110+375

Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mercer will win this college basketball game with 71.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs The Citadel Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+14.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+11.55 Units / 111% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Citadel have covered the Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 17-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.45 Units / 41.39% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 2.72% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 6-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -6.6% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 83.4 points per game (2,168 points/26 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 76.8

Mercer has averaged 83.4 points per game (2,168 points/26 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.1

Mercer has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 20.6

Mercer has a TS% of 48% this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 48%

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel averaged 11.3 assists per game (349 assists/31 games) last season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Citadel is shooting 33% from three (244/749) this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

The Citadel has made 9.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Citadel is shooting 32% from three (661/2,098) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (236/694) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Mercer has allowed 75.0 points per game (1,951 points/26 games) this season — 5th highest among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 75.1

Mercer has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (695/1,629) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mercer has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (648 rebounds/26 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 23.9

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (229/646) this season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

The Citadel has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (240 turnovers/26 games) this season — 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Citadel has allowed an average of 1.33 points per shot (1,987 points/1,495 shots) this season — tied for 22nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Citadel has allowed 8.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 34th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.