Merrimack vs Canisius Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Merrimack is a -9.5 point favorite vs Canisius
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • Merrimack / Canisius TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit Koessler Athletic Center to take on the Canisius Golden Griffins on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Buffalo, NY.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Merrimack vs. Canisius Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Canisius Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Merrimack vs Canisius Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 68.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Canisius Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+16.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Canisius has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Canisius has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Canisius has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 19-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8 Units / 25.04% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.5 Units / 30.95% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Over for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Under for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI

Canisius Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Canisius has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI).

  • 8-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -23.94% ROI
  • 9-19 when betting the Over for -11.9 Units / -38.64% ROI
  • 19-9 when betting the Under for +9.1 Units / 29.55% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 68.0 points per game (6,325 points/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Merrimack has averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (189 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack shot 31% from three (237/762) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Canisius Offensive Stats & Trends:

Canisius has averaged 63.3 points per game (1,773 points/28 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 75.9

Canisius averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (399 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Canisius has 17.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 20.5

Canisius has averaged 66.2 points per game (5,960 points/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (541/1,760) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack forced 15.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Merrimack has averaged 19.5 defensive rebounds per game (546 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Canisius Defensive Stats & Trends:

Canisius forced 10.7 turnovers per game (333 turnovers/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.2

Canisius has averaged 4.9 steals per game (137 steals/28 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Canisius has averaged 4.9 steals per game (137 steals/28 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Canisius allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.